Prominent Bitcoin analyst Willy Woo recently shared his insights on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), forecasting Bitcoin’s upcoming price movements. According to Woo, Bitcoin is currently navigating a phase of unfettered price discovery, having broken into new all-time highs. His analysis hinges on Fibonacci levels and market liquidation data to predict potential resistance points in this environment.
Woo’s post came after Bitcoin reached a new all-time high of $88,000, sparking intense interest among market participants. According to Woo, this milestone signals the first significant price level Bitcoin needs to consolidate around before aiming for higher targets.
Woo explained that once Bitcoin surpasses its previous all-time highs, it enters a phase where there are no historical resistance levels for traders to anchor their positions. This phase, known as unfettered price discovery, can lead to unpredictable and volatile market movements.
To navigate this period, Woo uses two primary guides:
- Fibonacci Bands: These are derived from Fibonacci sequences, mathematical patterns often observed in nature, which traders use to identify potential support and resistance levels.
- Market Liquidation Levels: These levels show where leveraged market positions might be forcibly closed, providing a guide for potential price targets and consolidation points.
Woo emphasized that Bitcoin’s recent rally to $88,000-$91,000 was anticipated by both local Fibonacci levels and market liquidation metrics. According to his analysis, reaching this range was crucial, as it represented a zone where short sellers were likely to be liquidated, thereby fueling buying pressure from forced liquidations. Woo noted that this process effectively concluded the “compulsory buying” phase driven by short sellers covering their positions.
With Bitcoin now consolidating around the $88,000-$91,000 level, Woo believes the next major target is $102,000. This projection is derived from a macro Fibonacci analysis, using the previous cycle’s high and the current cycle’s low to identify the next resistance level. Woo suggested that, as Bitcoin finds stability around the $88,000-$91,000 range, the market could prepare for its next leg up to $102,000.
However, Woo also acknowledged the potential for price volatility during this consolidation phase. He expects wild swings as Bitcoin establishes a new baseline before making a move towards the $102,000 mark. The key to reaching this target, according to Woo, will be observing where new liquidation clusters form as the market progresses.
The conversation took an interesting turn when another user, Bill O’Rights (@ajdavault), raised a question regarding the CME gap—a concept familiar to many crypto traders. For context, CME gaps refer to price gaps that occur on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) during off-hours trading. These gaps often become focal points for traders, who anticipate that the market might retrace to “fill” these gaps.
In response, Woo suggested that if a CME gap does come into play, it would likely be part of the current consolidation process. He reiterated that the $88,000-$91,000 target range serves as a cooling-off phase after the recent surge, hinting that any price retracement related to the CME gap would fit into this broader pattern of consolidation before Bitcoin pushes towards $102,000.
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