On Tuesday (December 17), Bitcoin followed the 3% price drop on Monday (December 16) with another drop, this time falling as low as $6,687 before bouncing back above $6,700.
What a difference two years makes: two years ago on this day, Bitcoin reached its all-time high (ATH) of $19,783; since then, it has lost 65.92% of its value.
However, it’s not all bad news, and serious Bitcoin HODLers would say that Bitcoin halvings and Bitcoin’s supply limit of 21 million means that Bitcoin is highly likely to continue its long-term upward trend.
Now, going back to what has happened today, what follows is a quick summary.
According to CryptoCompare, Bitcoin started the day at $6,918, and it hovered around the $6,900 level until around 12:40 UTC (when it was trading around $6,920). Then, between 12:40 UTC and 16:00, Bitcoin kept falling until it reached the intraday low of $6,687. Since then, Bitcoin has managed to recoup some of today’s losses, and currently, BTC-USD is trading at $6,742, down 5.21% in the past 24-hour period:
Over on Twitter, there was no shortage of opinions on what the current state of the crypto market tells us.
Quantitative crypto analyst “PlanB” did not seem worried on the basis that “stock-to-flow model predicts the long term trend”:
Stock-to-flow model predicts the long term trend, and greed & fear cause the actual bitcoin price to dance around this trend. #cointegration pic.twitter.com/k5oL7lCYqM
— PlanB [Jan/3➞🔑 ] (@100trillionUSD) December 17, 2019
And he feels that the only way for the “stock-to-flow model” to get invalidated would be if “bitcoin has not hit $50-100k before Dec 2021”:
If the cointegration disappears. My rough estimation (to make it understandable for non stats/math persons) would be that that is the case if bitcoin has not hit $50-100k before Dec 2021.
— PlanB [Jan/3➞🔑 ] (@100trillionUSD) December 17, 2019
As for Jacob Canfield, the #1 Ranked Bitcoin analyst on TradingView, he does not seem to think that now is a good time to buy Bitcoin, and says that it is better to wait until the bulls have overpowered the bears:
Why are you trying to catch knives?
Pages and pages of liquidations this morning.
Let the bulls show ANY sign of strength before trying to catch this.
If a Ponzi scheme is still market selling their BTC, don’t fight it. pic.twitter.com/irkvn8Llzp
— Jacob Canfield (@JacobCanfield) December 17, 2019
Canfield feels that, in the short term, the current downtrend could see Bitcoin go as low as $5,500:
What price do you guys have for the bottom on this #bitcoin downtrend?
I think we could see $5500 personally as it is the 78.6% from the swing low to swing high, but we may see a bounce or two in between here and there. pic.twitter.com/2TSK8XhecH
— Jacob Canfield (@JacobCanfield) December 17, 2019
However, as mentioned earlier, hardcore Bitcoiners, such as “Armin Van Bitcoin”, are not panicking about the current volatility:
During times like these, bitcoiners sleep like babies at night. 👶💤 #bitcoin #hodl
— A v B (@ArminVanBitcoin) December 17, 2019
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